AI data centre power — why the unit changed from megawatts to gigawatts
AI data centre capacity is now quoted in gigawatts rather than megawatts because a single frontier training campus draws as much electricity as a mid-sized city. The International Energy Agency projects global data centre consumption rising from 485 TWh in 2025 to about 950 TWh by 2030. The binding constraint has shifted from chip supply to grid interconnection
The three lines
- Unit — one gigawatt is 1,000 megawatts. Frontier training campuses now arrive at that scale
- Scale — the IEA puts global data centre electricity at 485 TWh in 2025 and about 950 TWh by 2030
- Bottleneck — not chips but grid connections. Goldman Sachs flags a 9.3 GW US shortfall in 2026
Key questions
- How much is a gigawatt?
- **One gigawatt (GW) is 1,000 megawatts (MW)**, or one million kilowatts. Two reference points help. By **generation**: a large nuclear reactor typically has a nameplate capacity of around 1 GW, so a '1 GW data centre' consumes what one reactor produces. By **settlement**: 1 GW roughly matches the electricity demand of a mid-sized city. When data centres were still counted in megawatts, 20–50 MW was a large facility — the scale of the Korean project this page covered on August 6 in **Sejong's 55 megawatts**. Announced AI training campuses now run 20 to 80 times that.
- Why did the scale jump so suddenly?
- **Training and inference grew at the same time.** Training runs tens of thousands of accelerators **simultaneously and without pause** for weeks or months. That is not the daytime-peak, night-time-trough curve of a normal web service; it is a **flat maximum load** sustained for the duration. For a grid operator that is the hardest possible shape of demand — it cannot be shifted and it cannot be reduced through demand-response. Inference then layers on top: once a model is in service, every request consumes compute, and that load scales with users. AI-optimised servers are estimated to account for **31 percent** of all data centre power in 2026.
- What happens when the power isn't there?
- **The chips sit idle.** The 2026 constraint is increasingly not accelerator supply but **grid interconnection**. Goldman Sachs has flagged a structural US shortfall of **9.3 GW in 2026**, widening to **45 GW by 2028**. Substations and transmission lines take years to build; generation takes longer. Operators have three workarounds: ① site where power is already available, ② lock in **nuclear or SMR** supply through long-term contracts, ③ co-develop a **dedicated campus** with a generation partner. The Ohio project announced in August 2026 is the third kind.
Until recently, data centre news came in megawatts. Twenty megawatts was a large site; fifty made headlines.
It now comes in gigawatts.
The unit moved three orders of magnitude. Here is why, and what it means.
1. How large a gigawatt is
| Unit | Value |
|---|---|
| 1 kilowatt (kW) | A few household air conditioners |
| 1 megawatt (MW) | 1,000 kW |
| 1 gigawatt (GW) | 1,000 MW = 1,000,000 kW |
Two reference points.
By generation — a large nuclear reactor's nameplate capacity is around 1 GW. So a "1 GW data centre" consumes what one reactor produces.
By settlement — 1 GW roughly matches a mid-sized city's electricity demand.
Both are approximations that shift with region, season and capacity factor. The direction is unambiguous all the same: data centres have become objects of generation planning.
This page covered a 55 MW Korean project on August 6 in Sejong's 55 megawatts — Naver spends 14.6 trillion won on a 'sovereign AI factory'. The Ohio project announced in August 2026 plans 4.25 GW initially with a further 3.75 GW optional. That is roughly 77 to 145 times larger.
2. Why — the load shape is different
The point is not the total. It is the shape of the load.
| Use | Load character |
|---|---|
| Ordinary web service | Busy by day, quiet at night. There is a curve |
| AI training | Tens of thousands of accelerators at maximum, continuously, for weeks or months |
| AI inference | Grows continuously with user count |
The middle row is the problem.
Training a model requires tens of thousands of accelerators running simultaneously and without pause. Interrupting the run breaks it, so the load cannot be dialled down. What the grid sees is a flat maximum sustained for months.
For a grid operator that is the least tractable form of demand. It cannot be shifted off peak, and demand-response programmes cannot trim it.
Inference then arrives on top. Once a model is in service, each user request consumes compute, and that load rises with the user base. The demand does not fall when training finishes — a different kind of load begins.
The aggregate reflects it: AI-optimised servers are estimated at 31 percent of all data centre power in 2026.
3. Global scale — the IEA numbers
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Global data centre electricity, 2025 | 485 TWh |
| 2030 projection | about 950 TWh |
| Share of world electricity demand | roughly 3% |
| AI-specific facilities | triple over the same period |
Those come from the IEA's April 2026 update. A doubling in five years.
For calibration: world electricity demand grew about 3 percent in 2025. AI data centre consumption grew 50 percent over the same period — more than 16 times faster than overall demand.
Year-by-year actuals differ between sources; some put 2026 at 565 TWh. The divergence comes from what counts as a data centre and whether on-site generation is included. This page uses only the IEA's 2025 and 2030 figures.
4. The bottleneck moved — from chips to the grid
In 2023–24 the constraint was accelerator supply. Projects slipped because chips were unobtainable.
The 2026 constraint is different.
You have the chips and nowhere to plug them in.
Goldman Sachs has put the structural US shortfall at:
| Year | Shortfall |
|---|---|
| 2026 | 9.3 GW |
| 2028 | 45 GW |
Roughly fivefold in two years.
The shortfall is not only generation capacity. Grid interconnection is the larger constraint. Substations and transmission lines take years; new generation takes longer. Data centre construction is much faster than either.
| Element | Lead time |
|---|---|
| Data centre buildings | Relatively short |
| Interconnection application and approval | Years |
| New generation | Longer still |
That mismatch in lead times is the substance of the industry's current problem.
5. Three workarounds
| Approach | Content |
|---|---|
| ① Relocate | Site where power is already available, or beside existing generation |
| ② Pre-contract power | Long-term purchase agreements with nuclear and SMR developers |
| ③ Dedicated campus | Co-develop site and plant with a generation partner |
The Ohio project announced in August 2026 is the third kind. Nvidia is backing up to $105 billion in financing for an OpenAI data centre in Ohio, with SB Energy building the PORTS-Pike campus in Pike County under a 20-year lease to OpenAI. Initial capacity is 4.25 GW, with an option for 3.75 GW more.
The 20-year lease is the striking term. Data centre equipment turns over far faster than that. What a twenty-year contract secures is not hardware but grid access and land. The asset being locked in is electricity.
6. Where this lands in the accounts
As power scale grows, the shape of the balance sheet changes with it.
Cloud businesses were relatively asset-light: buy servers, depreciate them over three to five years. Now generation equipment, transmission assets and twenty-year site commitments sit alongside.
This page covered the two related questions separately:
| Date | Article |
|---|---|
| Aug 20 | AI corporate bonds hit $200bn — it wasn't governments crowding out Treasuries |
| Aug 23 | What GPU depreciation is — one number changes an AI company's profit |
Power infrastructure enlarges both problems at once. It increases the capital that must be raised, and it lengthens and blurs the useful life of what must be depreciated.
7. Why this is also a semiconductor indicator
| Strand | Exposure |
|---|---|
| Grids | Interconnection headroom is limited in the regions where data centres concentrate |
| Siting | Metropolitan concentration versus regional dispersal is a policy question |
| Components | HBM and memory demand is directly geared to this capital spending |
The third is the channel through which power news reaches equity markets in supplier economies. A larger data centre power plan means a larger accelerator order book, and those accelerators carry memory made in Korea and elsewhere.
An energy story is also a leading indicator of semiconductor demand.
8. What is not confirmed
- Year-by-year actuals — sources differ for 2026 (565 TWh among them). Only the IEA's 2025 and 2030 figures are used here.
- The 31% share — depends heavily on the compiler's definitions; underlying data was not checked.
- Goldman Sachs figures — 9.3 GW and 45 GW come from citing coverage, not the original report.
- Ohio capacity — 4.25 GW and 3.75 GW are announced plan figures, not operating capacity.
- The analogies — comparing 1 GW to a mid-sized city or one reactor is approximate and varies by region, season and capacity factor.
- Next checkpoint — what share of announced capacity actually reaches an interconnection. The gap between plan and operation sets the real growth rate of this sector.
Sources
- International Energy Agency — Energy and AI
- Enlit World — AI and data centre electricity use continues to surge, IEA finds
- Brookings — Global energy demands within the AI regulatory landscape
- CNBC — Nvidia backing $105 billion in financing for OpenAI data center in Ohio
- NVIDIA Newsroom — NVIDIA Guarantees SB Energy's PORTS-Pike Technology Campus in Ohio to Exclusively Host NVIDIA AI Compute
- TechCrunch — Nvidia partners with data center developer Cloverleaf
- Axis Intelligence — AI Data Center Energy Consumption Statistics 2026