#Federal Reserve
31 articles tagged Federal Reserve. This tag now lifts the site in topic search.
Timeline
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Fed holds rates at 3.75%-4.00% on October 28 — both dissenters wanted a hike, and markets now price a December 9 increase
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FOMC October 28 rate decision — a hold is priced above 90%, so why is everyone watching December 9?
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US September CPI forecast at 3.6-3.7% — gasoline lifts headline, core near 2.4%, out October 14
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Why foreigners sold 1.75 trillion won of Korean stocks — U.S. yields at a 2002 high
All articles
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Economy · 5 min readFed holds rates at 3.75%-4.00% on October 28 — both dissenters wanted a hike, and markets now price a December 9 increase
Decision — held at 3.75–4.00%, 10–2; first meeting after the September 16 hike
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Economy · 2 min readFOMC October 28 rate decision — a hold is priced above 90%, so why is everyone watching December 9?
Timing — decision 2:00 p.m. ET Oct 28; 3:00 a.m. Oct 29 in Seoul
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Economy · 2 min readUS September CPI forecast at 3.6-3.7% — gasoline lifts headline, core near 2.4%, out October 14
Release — October 14, 8:30 a.m. ET. Headline seen at 3.6-3.7%, up from 3.4% in August
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Economy · 2 min readWhy foreigners sold 1.75 trillion won of Korean stocks — U.S. yields at a 2002 high
Result — foreigners net sold 1.75T won; KOSPI 6,941.39 (−0.89%); SK Hynix −3.69%, Samsung Electronics −1.45%
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Economy · 2 min read10-year Treasury yield hits 5.18% — the three forces behind a 2007-level high
Levels — 10-year 5.18% (highest since 2007), 30-year 5.47% (22-year high), 30-year mortgage 7.37%, all on September 24
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Economy · 3 min readWon closes at 1,340.5 per dollar on September 7, 2026 — 220 stronger in two months
Close — 1,340.5 per dollar (−9.9). Intraday low of 1,334.7 was the strongest since October 4, 2024
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Economy · 3 min readSeptember FOMC dates — September 15-16, and the last inflation print is September 11
Dates — FOMC September 15-16 with a dot plot; decision 2:00 pm ET September 16
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Economy · 4 min readUS August payrolls 162,000 — triple the forecast, and July's loss became a gain
Headline — August payrolls +162,000, triple the ~55,000 consensus and a five-month high
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Economy · 4 min readS&P 500 closes at 7,718.60 on September 4, 2026 — it fell because the jobs number was good
Close — S&P 500 7,718.60 (−0.38%), Nasdaq 26,506.99 (−0.29%), Dow 53,414.25 (−0.51%)
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Economy · 5 min readWhat the 2-year Treasury yield is — where the Fed's next move gets priced first
Definition — the annual yield on a two-year US government note, tracking the policy path
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Economy · 3 min readS&P 500 closes at 7,747.71 on September 3, 2026 — one Fed speech cut hike odds from 63% to 50%
Close — S&P 500 7,747.71 (+1.06%), Dow 53,686.11 (+1.18%), Nasdaq 26,584.06 (+1.40%)
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Economy · 2 min readS&P 500 closes at 7,666.60 on September 2, 2026 — a rebound built on nothing getting worse
Close — S&P 500 7,666.60 (+0.46%), Dow 53,061.95 (+0.56%), Nasdaq 26,217.83 (+0.45%)
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Economy · 2 min readS&P 500 closes at 7,686.14 on August 31, 2026 — Dow sheds 374 points but August still ends higher
Close — S&P 500 7,686.14 (−0.33%), Nasdaq 26,370.89 (−0.12%), Dow 53,185.90 (−374.09 pts)
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Economy · 4 min readFed hike odds of 56% — the number comes from a futures price, not a poll
Source — not a poll: it is reverse-engineered from 30-day fed funds futures prices
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Economy · 3 min readWarsh's first Jackson Hole speech (August 28, 2026) — September hike odds jump to 56 percent in a day
Message — The economy is strong, but underlying inflation has not improved. More work to do
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Economy · 2 min readS&P 500 closes at 7,711.76 on August 28, 2026 — down for the day, up for the week
Indices — S&P 500 7,711.76 (−0.25%), Nasdaq 26,402.42 (−0.52%), Dow 53,559.99 (−0.02%)
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Economy · 3 min readUS July PCE 3.7% (August 26, 2026) — core at 3.3%, unchanged for a second month
Numbers — Headline PCE +3.7% YoY, +0.2% MoM. Core +3.3% YoY, +0.2% MoM — the same as June
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Economy · 3 min readJackson Hole 2026 (August 27–29) — the keynote belongs to Warsh, not Powell
Timing — symposium August 27–29; keynote 10:00 a.m. ET on August 28, which is 11:00 p.m. Korean time
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Economy · 4 min readWhat the Jackson Hole symposium is — a conference that went trout fishing for a Fed chair
What it is — an economic policy symposium run every August by the Kansas City Fed. It is not an FOMC meeting and no rate is set there
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Economy · 3 min readFOMC July minutes show a 9-3 vote — and a proposal to cut meetings from eight to six
Vote — 9-3 to hold at 3.5-3.75%; all three dissents favoured a quarter-point hike
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Economy · 3 min readFOMC July minutes land August 19 — the question left by three dissents
Release — minutes of the July 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting are published August 19 (US time)
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Economy · 4 min readWhat FOMC minutes are — and why a three-week-old document still moves markets
What they are — the detailed record of an FOMC meeting, describing the discussion in narrative form without naming individual speakers
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Economy · 3 min readUS July PPI came in flat at 0.0% on August 13, 2026 — one core measure rose 0.4%
Headline 0.0% MoM (forecast +0.2%) and 4.7% YoY (forecast +4.9%, June 5.5%)
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Economy · 4 min readWhat is PPI — the inflation gauge that moves before consumer prices
PPI is the seller's price, CPI is the buyer's price — the same inflation measured at different stages
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Economy · 4 min readUS July CPI comes in at 3.4% on August 12, 2026 — September hike odds fall to 42%
Headline CPI +0.1% m/m and 3.4% y/y — down 0.1 point from June's 3.5%
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Economy · 2 min readUS July CPI lands today — oil is what reopened the inflation question
Release: 8:30am ET, August 12 — effectively the last inflation print before the September FOMC
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Economy · 4 min readUS CPI explained — why one monthly number moves rates everywhere
CPI is published monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in headline and core (ex-food-and-energy) forms
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Economy · 2 min readThe Jackson Hole symposium, explained — why a lodge speech moves world markets
Jackson Hole is the Kansas City Fed's annual symposium — this year August 27-29
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Economy · 2 min readAmerica lost jobs in July — minus 23,000 against a +83,000 forecast
Nonfarm payrolls fell 23,000 — a decline, not a slowdown, against a +83,000 consensus
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Economy · 2 min readThe US jobs report, explained — why one number moves every market
The jobs report reduces to three numbers: nonfarm payrolls, unemployment, hourly wages
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Economy · 2 min readThe Dow's record run stops at the jobs report's door
Dow -0.85% (-464), S&P 500 -0.18%, Nasdaq -0.06% — the record-high streak is over