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Tech · 17 min read · Reference

What is a qubit — Google needed 101 of them to make one reliable qubit, and why counts mislead

A qubit is the basic unit of information in a quantum computer. A bit is either 0 or 1; a qubit can hold a blend of both and can be entangled with other qubits. Measuring it still returns a single answer, so a quantum computer does not simply read out every answer at once. Current qubits make frequent errors, so many physical qubits are bundled into one error-corrected logical qubit. In December 2024 Google used 101 of the 105 qubits on its Willow chip to build one logical qubit. That is why a qubit count alone says little without error rates, coherence time and gate depth. Estimates of the qubits needed to break RSA-2048 fell from 20 million in 2019 to under 1 million in 2025, and one 2026 paper puts it under 100,000.

A blue-gloved hand holding a small square processor chip in a gold-plated carrier in a bright laboratory

The three lines

  • Meaning — a unit of information that can blend 0 and 1 and be entangled; measuring it returns one answer
  • Physical vs logical — Google Willow used 101 qubits for one logical qubit; useful error rates need more than 1,000 each
  • RSA-2048 — estimates fell from 20 million qubits (2019) to under 1 million (2025); announced chips hold hundreds

Key questions

what is a qubit
**The unit of information in a quantum computer. It can hold a blend of 0 and 1 and be entangled with other qubits, but measuring it returns only a 0 or a 1.** | Item | Bit | Qubit | |---|---|---| | State | 0 or 1 | A blend of 0 and 1 (superposition) | | Reading | Same value every time | Measurement returns 0 or 1 and destroys the blend | | Several together | Independent | Can be entangled | | Copying | Freely copied | An unknown state cannot be copied | | Errors | Practically none | About one per 100 to 10,000 operations |
physical qubit vs logical qubit
**A physical qubit is an actual device on the chip. A logical qubit is a group of physical qubits arranged to detect and correct errors.** | Case | Physical qubits | Logical qubits | Source | |---|---|---|---| | Google Willow (December 2024) | 101 | 1, at 0.143% error per cycle | Google paper | | Google estimate for a one-in-a-million error rate | More than 1,000 | 1 | Google Research blog | | IBM qLDPC code (2024 paper) | 288 | 12 | IBM paper | | Quantinuum Helios (November 2025) | 98 | 48 error-corrected | Quantinuum | | Microsoft and Atom Computing (November 2024) | 112 | 28 | Microsoft |
how many qubits to break RSA-2048
**Estimates fell from 20 million noisy qubits in 2019 to under 1 million in 2025, and a February 2026 paper proposes under 100,000. All assume machines that do not yet exist.** | Date | Who | Physical qubits | Runtime | |---|---|---|---| | 2012 | Earlier estimate cited by Google | About 1 billion | — | | May 2019 | Gidney and Ekerå | 20 million | 8 hours | | May 2025 | Gidney (Google) | Under 1 million | Under a week | | February 2026 | Iceberg Quantum | Under 100,000 | Not in abstract | | May 2026 | Xue and Covey (atomic) | About 500,000 | Not in abstract |

A qubit is the basic unit of information in a quantum computer. An ordinary bit is either 0 or 1. A qubit can hold a blend of both and can be entangled with other qubits. That is the textbook answer. The fact that matters more for understanding real machines comes next: current qubits make so many errors that it takes many of them to build one qubit you can trust.

On December 9, 2024, Google unveiled a 105-qubit chip called Willow and reported using 101 of those qubits to build a single error-corrected qubit. On November 11, 2026 (US Eastern time), IBM announced a next-generation chip design with 520 programmable qubits. Meanwhile, the estimated number of qubits needed to break RSA-2048 encryption fell from 20 million in 2019 to under 1 million in 2025. These three statements only make sense together once you know what each number is counting. This article sorts that out.

1. How a qubit differs from a bit

A bit is a switch: on (1) or off (0). A qubit is built from a very small physical system, such as an atom, an ion, a superconducting circuit or a particle of light, and differs in two ways.

Superposition means a qubit can sit in a blended state between 0 and 1. It carries values, called amplitudes, that set how likely a 0 or a 1 is. But when you measure a qubit you get only a 0 or a 1, and the blend is gone.

Entanglement means several qubits are tied into a single state that cannot be described one qubit at a time. Measure one of two entangled qubits and the result is correlated with the other. Describing n entangled qubits takes 2 to the power of n values. For 50 qubits that is about a quadrillion. This is why ordinary computers struggle to simulate quantum ones.

ItemBitQubit
State0 or 1A blend of 0 and 1 (superposition)
ReadingSame value every timeMeasurement returns 0 or 1 and destroys the blend
Several togetherIndependentCan be entangled
CopyingFreely copiedAn unknown state cannot be copied
ErrorsPractically noneAbout one per 100 to 10,000 operations
Made fromTransistorsSuperconducting circuits, ions, neutral atoms, photons, electron spins

A common misconception: it computes every answer at once

Quantum computers are often described as trying all possible answers simultaneously. That is half right. A set of qubits can hold many cases in superposition, but the moment you measure, only one of them comes out, at random. Superpose and measure, and you have done no better than rolling dice.

What a quantum algorithm does lies in between. It arranges operations so that the amplitudes of wrong answers cancel and those of right answers reinforce, the way overlapping waves build up or flatten out. Measurement then returns the right answer with high probability. The catch is that only certain problems can be arranged this way.

ProblemQuantum algorithmSpeedup
Factoring large numbers, discrete logarithms (the basis of RSA and elliptic-curve cryptography)Shor's algorithmFar beyond any known classical method
Searching an unsorted listGrover's algorithmSquare root: a million steps become about a thousand
Computing quantum states of molecules and materialsQuantum simulationLarge for some problems
Word processing, video playback, ordinary databasesNoneNo known advantage

A quantum computer is not a faster ordinary computer. It is a different kind of machine with an edge on specific problems.

2. Physical and logical qubits: why hundreds become one

Qubits are disturbed by heat, electromagnetic noise and imperfect control signals, and lose their state quickly. On good hardware a single operation fails about 0.1% of the time, or once in a thousand. Google puts the level needed for practical computation at about one in a trillion. Better devices alone are unlikely to close that gap.

The answer is quantum error correction. Information is spread across many physical qubits, the actual devices on the chip, while some of them continuously check whether an error has occurred so it can be fixed. The resulting unit is a logical qubit. A classical computer can copy a bit three times and take a majority vote. A qubit cannot be copied, and looking at it destroys its state. So the scheme never reads the information itself; it only measures whether neighboring qubits disagree. That detour is what consumes so many qubits.

Google's Willow result shows the structure in numbers.

ItemValueMeaning
Qubits on the chip105Physical qubits
Qubits used for one logical qubit101 (a 7×7 grid)49 data qubits plus checking qubits
Logical error rate0.143% per cycleEach round of error correction
Error reduction as the grid growsA factor of 2.14For each step from 3×3 to 5×5 to 7×7
Lifetime versus the best physical qubit2.4 timesThe bundle outlasts its best member
Physical coherence time (T1)68 microsecondsAbout 20 on the previous chip

The importance of the result is its direction, not the quality of that one logical qubit. If physical error rates sit above a certain threshold, bundling more qubits makes things worse, because errors appear faster than they can be fixed. Willow showed operation below the threshold, where a bigger grid means fewer errors.

The distance left is still long. An error of 0.143% per cycle is in the same range as a good physical operation, and Google wrote that at current physical error rates, reaching a logical error rate of one in a million takes more than 1,000 physical qubits per logical qubit. Useful computations need hundreds to thousands of such logical qubits. That multiplication is where figures in the millions come from.

There are efforts to shrink the ratio.

ApproachPhysical qubitsLogical qubitsConditionSource
Surface code, experiment (Google Willow)1011Only neighboring qubits need to connectGoogle, December 2024
Surface code, one-in-a-million targetMore than 1,0001At current physical error ratesGoogle Research blog
qLDPC code, theory (IBM)28812Requires links between distant qubitsIBM paper, Nature 2024
Trapped ions, experiment (Quantinuum Helios)9848 error-corrected, or 94 with error detection onlyEvery qubit can connect to every otherQuantinuum, November 2025
Neutral atoms, experiment (Microsoft and Atom Computing)11228Includes detection of lost atomsMicrosoft, November 2024

IBM's researchers wrote that building the same 12 logical qubits with the surface code would take nearly 3,000 physical qubits. In exchange, their code needs wiring between qubits that sit far apart on the chip. The low-ratio experiments in the table mostly used light error correction, meaning codes that catch only small errors. A large count of logical qubits does not mean each one can survive a long computation.

3. Five ways to build a qubit

A qubit is not one kind of object. Each physical approach has distinct strengths and weaknesses, and no winner has emerged.

TypeWhat the qubit isRepresentative buildersStrengthsWeaknesses
SuperconductingA metal circuit that loses resistance at extreme coldIBM, GoogleFast operations (an error-correction cycle takes about a microsecond); made with chip fabricationMust be cooled to around 0.015 kelvin; coherence lasts tens to about 100 microseconds; only neighbors connect
Trapped ionIons held by electric fieldsQuantinuum, IonQHighest fidelities; any qubit can connect to any otherSlow operations; hard to scale up the count
Neutral atomAtoms held by laser tweezersQuEra, Atom Computing, PasqalThousands can be arrayed; coherence measured in secondsSlow gates and readout; atoms escape
PhotonicParticles of lightPsiQuantum, XanaduWorks at room temperature; modules link by optical fiberPhoton loss is the main barrier
Silicon spinThe spin of an electron in siliconIntel, DiraqMade in existing chip factories; very small devicesPublicly shown devices still have few qubits

The scale of what has been shown differs just as much. Researchers at Caltech reported in March 2024 that they had trapped more than 6,100 neutral atoms and measured a coherence time of 12.6 seconds. That experiment held the atoms; it did not entangle them or run gates. Xanadu's photonic machine Aurora, announced on January 22, 2025, implemented 12 qubits across 35 photonic chips and 13 kilometers of fiber, and the company named optical loss as its next hurdle. Diraq and the Belgian research center imec said in September 2025 that two-qubit silicon devices made on a 300mm production line exceeded 99% operation fidelity. That 6,100, 12 and 2 can all be headline numbers in roughly the same period shows why counts alone do not compare.

4. Why the qubit count alone is not enough

On December 4, 2023, IBM unveiled Condor, a chip with 1,121 qubits. On the same day it presented the 133-qubit Heron with a lower error rate, and it shifted away from doubling qubit counts each year toward machines that resist errors rather than larger ones. Nighthawk, which IBM introduced on November 12, 2025, has 120 qubits. Going from 1,121 to 120 is not a retreat. What is being counted changed.

Simple arithmetic shows why. If one operation, or gate, succeeds 99.9% of the time, the chance of getting through 1,000 gates without a single error is 0.999 multiplied by itself 1,000 times.

Two-qubit gate fidelity100 gates1,000 gates5,000 gates10,000 gates
99%37%0.004%Effectively 0Effectively 0
99.9%90%37%0.7%0.005%
99.99%99%90%61%37%

This assumes errors are independent, and real systems use error-mitigation techniques to extract better results than the table suggests. The point holds anyway. A thousand qubits are of no use if the result drowns in noise after a few hundred operations. So the following metrics are read alongside the count.

MetricWhat it measuresHow to read itPublished example
Qubit countNumber of devices on the chipMore allows bigger problems, but means little aloneGoogle Willow 105, Quantinuum Helios 98
Two-qubit gate fidelityChance that an entangling operation is correctThe number of nines after the decimal point is what countsHelios 99.921%, IonQ prototypes 99.99%
Coherence time (T1, T2)How long a qubit keeps its stateCompare with the time one operation takesWillow 68 microseconds; Caltech atom array 12.6 seconds
Gate count (circuit depth)How many operations can be chained with usable resultsThe figure IBM leads with next to qubit countNighthawk 5,000; r2 more than 7,500; r3 design 10,000
ConnectivityHow many partners a qubit can entangle with directlyLow connectivity adds swap operations and errorsTwo to four neighbors on superconducting chips; all on trapped ions
Quantum volume (QV)A combined test of count, fidelity and connectivityThe largest random circuit the machine passes, written as a power of twoQuantinuum H2 at 2 to the 25th (33,554,432), September 2025
Logical error rateError remaining after correctionDistance left to fault-tolerant computingWillow 0.143% per cycle
SpeedRuns per second, error-correction cycle timeWhether a job takes hours or monthsIBM r2 up to 100,000 samples per second

Quantum volume was devised by IBM. A machine runs random circuits on n qubits with n layers; the largest n for which the results pass a statistical test (a heavy-output probability above two thirds) is reported as 2 to the power of n. A value of 2 to the 25th means a 25-qubit, 25-layer circuit ran reliably. A machine with hundreds of qubits and high error rates scores low. Companies also favor different metrics: IBM cites gate counts, Quantinuum cites quantum volume, and IonQ uses its own measure called algorithmic qubits (#AQ). That is one reason cross-company comparison is hard.

5. What the main companies have published

These are figures each company announced. They were not measured by an independent body under the same conditions, and the announcement date is given for each.

CompanyMachine or chipTypeAnnouncedQubitsOther published figures
IBMCondorSuperconductingDecember 4, 20231,121Presented alongside the lower-error 133-qubit Heron
IBMNighthawkSuperconductingNovember 12, 2025120218 couplers; up to 5,000 two-qubit gates
IBMNighthawk r2SuperconductingIntroduced September 2026120More than 7,500 operations; up to 100,000 samples per second
IBMNighthawk r3 (design)SuperconductingNovember 11, 2026520 programmableTarget of 10,000 operations; no ship date or error rate
GoogleWillowSuperconductingDecember 9, 2024105One logical qubit from 101; 0.143% error per cycle; T1 of 68 microseconds
QuantinuumHeliosTrapped ionNovember 5, 202598Two-qubit fidelity 99.921%; single-qubit 99.9975%; 48 error-corrected logical qubits
QuantinuumH2Trapped ionSeptember 18, 2025—Quantum volume of 2 to the 25th
IonQR&D prototypesTrapped ionOctober 21, 2025—Two-qubit fidelity above 99.99%; not a commercial system
IonQTempoTrapped ion—100-classDesigned for 64 algorithmic qubits
Microsoft and Atom Computing—Neutral atomNovember 19, 2024112 physicalComputation on 28 logical qubits; 24 entangled; two-qubit fidelity 99.6%
XanaduAuroraPhotonicJanuary 22, 20251235 photonic chips; 13 km of fiber; room temperature

IBM Nighthawk r3 is the most recent case. On November 11, 2026 (US Eastern time), IBM announced r3 as designed to run 10,000 quantum operations on 520 programmable qubits, and said it plans to link two r3 chips into a 1,040-qubit system in 2027. The announcement contains the same distinctions drawn above. The 520 is the number of qubits a user computes with; the chip carries far more devices, 2,034 in all. The IBM press release calls these total physical qubits, while SiliconANGLE describes them as physical quantum components including couplers and reset elements. Either way, the 520 are not error-corrected logical qubits. IBM gave no ship date or error rate for r3. Our same-day article on IBM Nighthawk r3 covers the details.

IBM's target for a machine with full error correction is a separate one. In a roadmap released on June 10, 2025, the company said it would build Starling in Poughkeepsie, New York, by 2029 to run 100 million operations on 200 logical qubits. That 520 and 200 come from the same company, and that the smaller number is by far the harder goal, is the reason to keep physical and logical apart.

6. How many qubits would break RSA-2048?

The main reason qubits reach general news is cryptography. A quantum computer large enough to run Shor's algorithm would break the RSA and elliptic-curve cryptography that the internet relies on. Estimates of how many qubits that machine needs have kept falling.

DateWhoTargetPhysical qubitsRuntimeAssumptions
2012Earlier estimate cited by GoogleRSA-2048About 1 billion——
May 2019Craig Gidney and Martin EkeråRSA-204820 million8 hours0.1% gate error; 1-microsecond surface-code cycle; nearest-neighbor grid
May 2025Craig Gidney (Google)RSA-2048Under 1 millionUnder a weekSame hardware assumptions as 2019
February 2026Iceberg Quantum (Pinnacle architecture)RSA-2048Under 100,000Not in abstract0.1% error; qLDPC codes; validated by simulation only
March 2026Google Quantum AI256-bit elliptic curveUnder 500,000A few minutesSuperconducting hardware; 1,200 to 1,450 logical qubits
May 2026Tian Xue and Jacob CoveyRSA-2048About 500,000Not in abstractModular atomic processor

Three points are worth noting.

First, the twentyfold drop between 2019 and 2025 came from algorithms, not hardware. Gidney's 2025 paper assumes exactly the same hardware as the 2019 one. It shrinks the working space the calculation needs and stores idle logical qubits more densely. The runtime rose in exchange, from 8 hours to under a week. Qubits were traded for time.

Second, the under-100,000 figure from February 2026 rests on different assumptions. It replaces the surface code with qLDPC codes, which need direct links between distant qubits, and such links have not been built at scale. The Quantum Insider noted that the architecture has been validated only in numerical simulation, and reported that Gidney has said he does not see another tenfold reduction without changing assumptions.

Third, every qubit in this table is a physical qubit that operates steadily at a 0.1% error rate. Google wrote in May 2025 that quantum computers with relevant error rates currently have on the order of 100 to 1,000 qubits. The requirement is 100,000 to 1 million; the supply is in the hundreds. The gap is somewhere between 100 and 10,000 times. It is shrinking, and it is still wide.

No one can put a date on when it closes. That uncertainty is why the US National Institute of Standards and Technology decided to deprecate RSA and elliptic-curve cryptography after 2030 and disallow them after 2035. Our explainer on post-quantum cryptography covers that timeline and the replacement algorithms, and our explainer on elliptic curve cryptography gives the background on why a 256-bit curve falls to fewer qubits than RSA.

7. Where South Korea stands

South Korea is a useful case of a country building its own hardware while buying foreign machines. Only confirmed items are listed.

WhoWhatWhenSource
Korea Research Institute of Standards and Science (KRISS)Demonstrated a domestically built 20-qubit-class superconducting system with cloud accessMarch 12, 2025ZDNet Korea
KRISSDeveloping a 50-qubit-class superconducting system; target reported as 2026 or March 2027In progressZDNet Korea
Ministry of Science and ICT flagship projectSuperconducting qubit coherence above 100 microseconds, twice the 50-microsecond goal set for 2027; entangling-gate accuracy of about 99%Announced November 10, 2026Asia Economy, Newsis
Same projectGoal of a 100-qubit-class superconducting processor with error correction2029Asia Economy, Newsis
Yonsei UniversityInstalled an IBM Quantum System One (127 qubits, superconducting) at its Songdo campus in Incheon2024Hankook Ilbo
Korea Institute of Science and Technology Information (KISTI)To install IonQ Tempo (100-qubit class, trapped ion) in Daejeon, with 48.2 billion won of public funding through 2028Target: end of 2026HelloDD, Hankook Ilbo, ETNews

The flagship project began research in October 2025 and is budgeted at about 360.4 billion won through 2029. A coherence time of 100 microseconds is in the same range as the 68 microseconds Google reported for Willow. Coherence is one metric among several, though, and as the table in section 4 shows, an entangling accuracy of about 99% is one or two nines short of what long computations require. The largest domestically built machine demonstrated so far has 20 qubits.

KISTI's Tempo was presented in a March 18, 2026 agreement with NVIDIA and IonQ as due to be linked to the country's sixth national supercomputer. No report confirming that installation is complete was found at the time of writing.

8. Frequently asked questions

Does more qubits mean a faster quantum computer? No. The count sets the size of problem that fits. Whether the computation works depends on error rates and on how many operations can be chained. IBM built a 1,121-qubit chip and then changed course to a 120-qubit one.

Does a quantum computer calculate every possibility at once? It can hold many possibilities in superposition, but measurement returns one. The algorithm has to arrange interference so the right answer is likely, and that is known to work for a limited set of problems such as factoring, search and simulating quantum systems.

How many physical qubits make one logical qubit? There is no fixed number. It depends on the physical error rate, the code and the target error rate. Google's 2024 experiment used 101 for one, and Google says a one-in-a-million target takes more than 1,000. IBM's qLDPC design gets 12 from 288.

Why are qubits kept so cold? Only superconducting ones are. Heat disturbs the qubit state, so they are cooled to around 0.015 kelvin. Trapped-ion and neutral-atom machines hold atoms with vacuum chambers and lasers, and photonic machines run at room temperature.

Are my passwords or online banking at risk now? No existing quantum computer can break RSA-2048. Estimates call for 100,000 to 1 million qubits, announced chips have hundreds, and those are qubits before error correction. Encrypted traffic captured now could be stored and decrypted later, however, so long-lived secrets are being moved to new algorithms first.

Is quantum advantage the same as fault tolerance? No. Quantum advantage means beating classical computers on some particular problem. Fault tolerance means running long computations reliably through error correction. Breaking cryptography needs the second.

9. What remains open or unconfirmed

  • Cross-company comparison: fidelities and qubit counts here are self-reported. No independent like-for-like comparison was found. IonQ's 99.99% is a prototype result.
  • The 2,034 figure for IBM r3: the IBM release says physical qubits, SiliconANGLE says physical quantum components including couplers. r3 is at the design stage.
  • RSA-2048 estimates: all are theoretical. The under-100,000 figure from February 2026 is validated only by simulation and needs connectivity not yet built at scale.
  • Original papers: the Nature versions of the Willow and Helios papers could not be opened; arXiv abstracts and company statements were used.
  • South Korea: whether Tempo has been installed at KISTI and whether the KRISS 50-qubit system has been demonstrated could not be confirmed. The 127-qubit figure for Yonsei rests on one report.
  • When it becomes useful: fault-tolerant machines have company targets (IBM says 2029) but no verified schedule.

For a different route to weakening existing cryptography, see our report on DeepMind AI agents finding two RSA-1024 weaknesses. The migration timeline is in our explainer on post-quantum cryptography, the principle behind current public-key systems is in our explainer on elliptic curve cryptography, and the latest IBM announcement is covered in the same-day article on IBM Nighthawk r3.

Sources

  1. Google Research blog — Making quantum error correction work (2024-12-09)
  2. arXiv 2408.13687 — Quantum error correction below the surface code threshold (Google Willow paper, Nature 638, 2025)
  3. arXiv 1905.09749 — Gidney and Ekerå, How to factor 2048 bit RSA integers in 8 hours using 20 million noisy qubits (2019-05-23)
  4. arXiv 2505.15917 — Gidney, How to factor 2048 bit RSA integers with less than a million noisy qubits (2025-05-21)
  5. Google blog — Tracking the Cost of Quantum Factoring (2025-05-23)
  6. arXiv 2602.11457 — The Pinnacle Architecture: Reducing the cost of breaking RSA-2048 to 100 000 physical qubits using quantum LDPC codes (2026-02-12)
  7. arXiv 2605.03951 — Xue and Covey, Factoring 2048 bit RSA integers with a half-million-qubit modular atomic processor (2026-05-05)
  8. Google Research blog — Safeguarding cryptocurrency by disclosing quantum vulnerabilities responsibly (2026-03-31)
  9. The Quantum Insider — Q-Day Just Got Closer: Three Papers in Three Months (2026-03-31)
  10. IBM press release (CNW) — IBM Quantum Nighthawk Demonstrates New Levels of Speed and Quality, with Plans to Scale Beyond 1,000 Qubits in 2027 (2026-11-11)
  11. SiliconANGLE — IBM Quantum announces upcoming Nighthawk r3 processor designed to execute 10,000 operations (2026-11-11)
  12. The Quantum Insider — IBM Plans 1,040-Qubit Quantum System with Next-Generation Nighthawk Processors (2026-11-11)
  13. SiliconANGLE — IBM unveils Loon and Nighthawk processors (2025-11-12)
  14. SiliconANGLE — IBM reveals roadmap to large-scale fault-tolerant quantum computer in 2029 (2025-06-10)
  15. Scientific American — IBM Releases First-Ever 1,000-Qubit Quantum Chip (2023-12-05)
  16. arXiv 2308.07915 — Bravyi et al. (IBM), High-threshold and low-overhead fault-tolerant quantum memory (Nature 627, 2024)
  17. Quantinuum press release — Quantinuum Announces Commercial Launch of New Helios Quantum Computer (2025-11-05)
  18. Quantinuum blog — New World-Record in Quantum Volume (2025-05-12)
  19. Quantum Computing Report — Quantinuum Achieves Quantum Volume of 2^25 on System Model H2 (2025-09-18)
  20. IonQ IR — IonQ Achieves Landmark Result, Setting New World Record in Quantum Computing Performance (2025-10-21)
  21. Microsoft Azure Quantum blog — Microsoft and Atom Computing offer a commercial quantum machine (2024-11-19)
  22. The Quantum Insider — Caltech Researchers Use Optical Tweezer Arrays to Trap Over 6,100 Neutral Atoms (2024-03-20)
  23. Xanadu press release — Xanadu introduces Aurora (2025-01-22)
  24. The Quantum Insider — Imec and Diraq Report in Nature That Industrial Silicon Qubits Reach Fidelity Needed for Error Correction (2025-09-25)
  25. Asia Economy — Korean quantum computer program doubles its coherence-time target (2026-11-10, in Korean)
  26. Newsis via Nate — Quantum flagship project results (2026-11-10, in Korean)
  27. ZDNet Korea — KRISS demonstrates 20-qubit superconducting system over the cloud (2025-03-12, in Korean)
  28. ZDNet Korea — Korean-built 50-qubit quantum computer model on show (2026-10-07, in Korean)
  29. Hankook Ilbo — Yonsei has IBM, KISTI has IonQ (2025-07-08, in Korean)
  30. HelloDD — First government commercial quantum computer to be installed at KISTI in Daejeon (2025-07-13, in Korean)
  31. ETNews — KISTI signs three-way agreement with NVIDIA and IonQ (2026-03-19, in Korean)

Verification

Published
Last modified
Cross-check
Checked against 31 independent sources.
Unverified
  • The Nature versions of the Google Willow paper and the Quantinuum Helios paper redirected to a login page and could not be opened. Willow figures were checked against the arXiv abstract of the same paper and the Google Research blog; Helios figures against the company press release.
  • For IBM Nighthawk r3, the IBM press release and The Quantum Insider describe 2,034 as total physical qubits, while SiliconANGLE describes it as physical quantum components including couplers and reset elements. r3 is a design announcement; no ship date or error rate was given.
  • Gate fidelities are company-reported and measured with differing methods. IonQ's 99.99% figure comes from R&D prototypes, not a commercial system.
  • All RSA-2048 estimates are theoretical calculations for machines that do not exist. The February 2026 Pinnacle paper (under 100,000 qubits) is validated only by numerical simulation, and its runtime could not be confirmed from the abstract. The 2012 figure of about 1 billion is as cited by the Google blog; the underlying paper was not opened.
  • IonQ Tempo at KISTI was reported as due for installation by the end of 2026. No report confirming completed installation or operation was found at the time of writing.
  • Reports differ on the completion date of the KRISS 50-qubit system: a March 2025 article says 2026, an October 7, 2026 article says March 2027. No report of an actual demonstration was found.
  • The 127-qubit figure for the IBM system at Yonsei University rests on a single Hankook Ilbo report.
  • The table of strengths and weaknesses by qubit type is a general summary drawn from company announcements and coverage; individual machines differ. The success-probability table is a simple calculation that assumes independent errors.
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Reviewed by a person before publication. The full process is described in the Editorial.

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